Column · role of luck
Timing, the first person who finds you, whether a platform changes its rules. These dominate outcomes at small scale, and pretending otherwise produces bad advice.
The number of attempts. Each attempt is an opportunity for the uncontrollable to land favourably, and attempts are cheap compared to certainty.
A failed attempt costs time and a little money. A success can change the trajectory. When the downside is bounded and the upside is not, more attempts is the rational strategy.
Treating one success as proof of skill and one failure as proof of absence. Both are usually noise, and the correct response to noise is more samples.
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